Learn Metric Decomposition with Phoebe

Two tracks from a top-line number to the driver that moved it

A leader track that teaches you why a number is useless on its own, how a driver tree turns "sales are down 8%" into a lever with an owner, and how to run the weekly business review and the monthly leadership summit as tree-reading rituals - no code to write. And a builder track that takes any top-line metric, decomposes it into a driver tree (leading drivers up to a lagging outcome), and diagnoses a drop in minutes - applied live to six domains: ecommerce, marketing, branding, internet and traffic, B2B SaaS, and B2G. Every builder page runs a live driver-tree simulator: edit a driver and the top line recomputes; press "Simulate a drop" and the guilty driver's path lights coral so you practise tracing a fall. Then live DuckDB SQL segments the guilty driver to find the culprit slice. No install, no cluster, no bill.

16sessions
6industries
2tracks
10live-simulator sessions

The leader track 🀝 · for C-level, managers & curious minds · 6 x 45 min · no code to write

Thinking mode: why a top-line number names an outcome not a cause, the difference between leading drivers you steer by and lagging outcomes you report, how to read a drop off a tree in thirty seconds, and how to run the weekly business review and monthly summit as decomposition rituals - each session ends with questions to ask your data team.

The builder track πŸ› οΈ Β· for practitioners Β· 10 sessions x 45 min (b10: 60) Β· live driver-tree simulator + DuckDB SQL

One skill, ten sessions: take any top-line metric, break it into a driver tree, and diagnose a drop in minutes. Every page runs a live driver-tree simulator - edit a leaf and the top line recomputes; press "Simulate a drop" and the guilty driver's path lights coral so you practise tracing a fall back to its cause. Then real DuckDB via WebAssembly segments the guilty driver with live SQL to find the culprit slice. You start with a GMV tree (b1), learn the three decomposition patterns (b2) and the leading-indicator diagnosis playbook (b3), then apply all of it to six domains one at a time (b4-b9) before a capstone where a metric drops and you diagnose it end to end (b10). The engine loads once from a CDN (about 8 MB, cached); everything after that is offline.

🌳 Builder 1 · easy

Your first driver tree

Build GMV = Traffic x Conversion x AOV live, edit a leaf and watch the top line move, then simulate a drop and read the coral path back to the cause.

β–Ά Builders start here
🧩 Builder 2 · easy

The three decomposition patterns

Multiply, add, and the flow bridge. Decide which pattern any metric follows, and build a tree in each shape in the simulator.

Build each
πŸ” Builder 3 Β· easy

Leading indicators and the diagnosis playbook

Push a tree deep enough that the leaves warn early, then run the repeatable playbook that takes a drop to a root cause.

The playbook
πŸ›’ Builder 4 Β· medium

Ecommerce deep dive

Decompose GMV into its real drivers, simulate a drop, then segment the guilty driver with live SQL to find which channel fell.

Segment the drop
πŸ“£ Builder 5 Β· medium

Marketing deep dive

Build the funnel tree - spend to impressions to clicks to leads to CAC - and find exactly where the funnel leaks when performance dips.

Where it leaks
✨ Builder 6 · medium

Branding deep dive

Decompose the softer metrics: the brand funnel from awareness to preference, and share of search as a leading driver of demand.

Share of search
🌐 Builder 7 · medium

Internet and traffic deep dive

Ad revenue and the DAU bridge: decompose an audience business into the drivers of reach, engagement, and monetisation.

DAU bridge
πŸ’³ Builder 8 Β· medium

B2B SaaS deep dive

The ARR bridge - new, expansion, contraction, churn - plus pipeline coverage as the leading driver of the number next quarter.

Pipeline coverage
πŸ›οΈ Builder 9 Β· medium

B2G deep dive

Decompose government bookings and the tension every public-sector tree carries: mission outcomes versus money, both on the same page.

Mission vs money
πŸ“‰ Builder 10 Β· hands-on Β· 60 min

Capstone: diagnose the drop

A metric drops with no explanation. Build the tree, simulate, segment, and write the weekly-business-review narrative that names the cause.

WBR narrative
easy - everyone medium hands-on hardest

Metric decomposition is the reading skill under every dashboard. It pairs with learn-business-intelligence-with-phoebe (the dashboards these trees live in), sits on top of learn-data-warehouse-with-phoebe (where the numbers come from), and goes deeper on one domain in learn-marketing-attribution-with-phoebe.

Built from Lean Analytics (Croll & Yoskovitz), DuPont driver-tree analysis, the Amplitude North Star Playbook, and the Amazon Weekly Business Review - frameworks applied live in the simulator, not just described.

Choose your path πŸ—ΊοΈ

Two doors, one skill. Leaders never write code; builders never sit through theory they have not just run themselves in the simulator.

🀝 The leader path (read & run reviews) a1β†’ a2β†’ a3β†’ a4β†’ a5β†’ a6
πŸ› οΈ The builder path (build & diagnose) b1β†’ b2β†’ b3β†’ b4β†’ b5β†’ b6β†’ b7β†’ b8β†’ b9β†’ b10
πŸš€ The full journey (read AND build) a1-a6β†’ b1-b10

The knowledge map 🧠

Both tracks at a glance - hover a session to spotlight its concepts, click any node to jump in.